Umsatzdetonation +745% Asia Global

ASIA GLOBAL HLDGS
A0J4BX
USA

Asia Global ist meiner Meinung nach auf diesem Niveau ein Kauf, da sie bereits Ende August bewiesen hat, dass sie laufen kann. Ende August lief sie auf 42 Cent ohne News und baute dieses Kursniveau wieder ab. Jetzt nach den Super-Zahlen denke ich, könnte sich dieses Kursszenario wiederholen. Der Chart ist einen Blick wert. Natürlich ist dass keine Kauf- oder Verkaufsempfehlung. Aktien können fallen oder auch steigen. In manchen Fällen detonieren sie sogar.

Asia Global Holdings Corporation Posts July 2006 profits of $609,708 on $1,012,564 revenue, up 745% and 590% respectively over last year; plans to expand its involvement in advertising and media in China
Friday September 1, 8:01 am ET

LOS ANGELES, Sept. 1 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Asia Global Holdings Corporation (OTC Bulletin Board: AAGH - News), formerly BonusAmerica Worldwide Corporation, posted profits of $609,708 on $1,012,564 revenue in the month of July 2006. This represents increases of 745% and 590% respectively over July 2005 profits and revenues of $81,738 and $171,410.

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With continued positive results from its advertising and media segment in China, the Company intends to step up its involvement in the segment. Management plans to continue to grow revenue and profits through the acquisition of or investment in established companies and projects in the China advertising and media segment with strong management and high growth potential.

The Company is maintaining its strong focus on the China market.

Aug Net Income, P/Es, and valuations

The problem:
If we receive Aug Net Income figures (possibly next week) how should the figures be interpreted? The Aug numbers will represent another partial quarter, and the company’s Net Income profile is jumping unlike anything that could have been predicted from data that we had as recently as two months ago. Here’s an approach that I have been playing with. Once the Aug figures are in, the analysis below will simplify significantly. I wasn’t willing to do a lot of predicting based on a single (July) special month, but when Aug is also available, I think that the story might clarify a lot.

Data source:
Using published Net Income figures (10Qs and PRs)
Split each quarterly figure into 3 equal (monthly) figures for calculations
Using current outstanding share count of 29,862,000 shares

Assumptions:
New, or changing, high growth companies can see a P/E ratio of 50. This is because their expected future is quite different from their previous 12 months of operation. Mature companies going through “normal” growth usually see a more conservative P/E ratio of 20. Despite AAGH’s good fit with an earned P/E of 50, I will be using the more conservative (lower) Price/Earnings ratio of 20 for the following calculations

You get to pick your own amount of historical data that you feel is now most representative of AAGH’s current position (2, 6, or 12 months of history).

Scenarios:
Predict that the next 12 months of Net Income will be the same as:
- Running 12 months to (and including) Aug (includes 7 months of losses).
- Running 6 months to (and including) Aug (includes 1 month of losses).
- Running 2 month (Jul/Aug) only.

A) If Aug Net Income = zero: