Original-Research: Aves One AG (von GBC AG): under review

Original-Research: Aves One AG - von GBC AG

Einstufung von GBC AG zu Aves One AG

Unternehmen: Aves One AG
ISIN: DE000A168114

Anlass der Studie: Research Comment
Empfehlung: under review
Kursziel: under review
Letzte Ratingänderung: 
Analyst: Cosmin Filker, Matthias Greiffenberger

Takeover offer for Aves One AG by consortium, takeover price at EUR 12.80
and thus close to the GBC price target, revaluation as soon as offer
available
 
A consortium consisting of Swiss Life Asset Managers (Switzerland) and
Vauban Infrastructure Partners (France) has made a voluntary public
takeover offer to the share-holders of Aves One AG on 6 August 2021. The
offer is for EUR12.80 per Aves One share, which represents a premium of
26.7% over the previous day's closing price (XETRA closing price on
05.08.2021: EUR10.10). According to the takeover offer, Aves One AG is
valued at a fair value of EUR 166.60 million, plus net liabilities, an
enterprise value of EUR 1,130 million.
 
Under the investment agreement entered into by Aves One AG and the Bidder,
Aves One AG is to receive additional capital of EUR100 million from the
Consortium as well as further capital for the optimisation of the capital
structure. No further details were given on this, so that this can be both
equity and debt capital. As of 31 December 2020, Aves One AG had reported
equity of EUR 14.04 million and a low equity ratio of 1.4 % after the sale
of the container business. A strengthening of the equity base is therefore
likely to be part of the investment agreement.
 
Only after the publication of the complete offer document will the board of
Aves One issue a statement on the takeover offer. In our opinion, however,
it seems likely that a recommendation for acceptance will be made. The fact
that more than 85% of the voting rights have already committed to tendering
the shares in the takeover offer is also a good indication of this.
 
We have been following Aves One AG since July 2017 as part of our ongoing
research coverage. Since then, the share price has developed very well.
Since August 2018, the fair enterprise value we have determined has also
been above EUR12.00 per share; most recently, we determined a price target
of EUR14.50 as part of the Anno study. The takeover price of EUR12.80 set
in the context of the acquisition is somewhat below the last price target,
but is roughly at the level of the price target we determined in previous
years.
 
In the context of this Research Comment, we are not yet carrying out a new
valuation until the submission of the offer document. At this point in
time, we are not yet able to assess whether, for example, a delisting will
be part of this takeover bid, which is an important aspect relevant to
valuation (due to the increased cost of capital). Furthermore, we do not
yet know in what form the additional capital will be made available by the
takeover consortium.
 
For this reason, a concrete further assessment of the offer will be made by
us after the offer has been submitted. Until then, we take the valuation
status 'Under Review'.

Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/22763.pdf

Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
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Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (4,5a,6a,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
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Date (time) completion: 10.08.21 (11:10 am)
Date (time) first publication: 11.08.21 (12:00 am)

-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.------------------- Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw. 
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.