Es geht um die Staatsschuldenquote (engl.: debt-to-GDP-ratio). Bereits ab 90 % wird es kritisch, errechneten die US-Ökonomen Rogoff und Reinhart bei der Auswertung von Wirtschaftsdaten der letzten 800 Jahre.
Aktuell liegt Amerikas Staatsschuldenquote bereits bei 105 %.
dailyreckoning.com/golden-solution-americas-debt-crisis/...When is the debt-to-GDP ratio too high? When does a country reach the point that it either turns things around or ends up like Greece?
Economists Ken Rogoff and Carmen Reinhart carried out a long historical survey going back 800 years, looking at individual countries, or empires in some cases, that have gone broke or defaulted on their debt.
They put the danger zone at a debt-to-GDP ratio of 90%. Once it reaches 90%, they found, a turning point arrives…
At that point, a dollar of debt yields less than a dollar of output. Debt becomes an actual drag on growth.
What is the current U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio?
105%.We are deep into the red zone, that is. And we’re only going deeper.
The U.S. has a 105% debt to GDP ratio, trillion dollar deficits on the way, more spending on the way.
We’re getting more and more like Greece. We’re heading for a sovereign debt crisis. That’s not an opinion; it’s based on the numbers....