Original-Research: MagForce AG (von GBC AG): BUY

Montag, 28.08.2017 15:01 von


Original-Research: MagForce AG - von GBC AG

Einstufung von GBC AG zu MagForce AG

Unternehmen: MagForce AG
ISIN: DE000A0HGQF5

Anlass der Studie: Research Report (Anno)
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 15.00 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: End FY 2018
Letzte Ratingänderung: 
Analyst: Cosmin Filker, Marcel Goldmann

Commercialisation and approval fully financed, important financing
milestone achieved, increase in treatment figures expected, approval in the
USA planned
 
In the past financial year 2016, MagForce AG has advanced its approval and
commercialisation strategy. As part of this strategy, the basis for the
treatment of glioblastoma patients in Europe was expanded through the
inclusion of the Vivantes hospital in Berlin Friedrichshain. A total of six
NanoActivator devices are now installed in hospitals in Germany with four
being used for commercial treatment.
 
In a parallel process, the company advanced the approval of its own
technology for the treatment of prostate cancer in the USA in 2016. At the
recommendation of the American approval authority, the FDA, all the
biocompatibility studies already conducted in Germany were conducted again.
The trials demonstrated once again that the nanoparticles are non-toxic and
that they remain in the region of application.
 
In addition, MagForce AG laid the foundation for developing its financial
base in 2016. This is of great importance in particular given the still low
commercialisation income and the resulting liquidity outflow. After the
start of discussions, a number of capital measures were successfully
concluded after the balance sheet date of 31/12/2016. This includes the
issue of a EUR5.00 million convertible bond, the assumption of various
loans as well as the successful placement of a capital increase of EUR5.00
million. However, the focus was particularly on the recently reported
financing agreement with the European Investment Bank (EIB) in the context
of which MagForce AG can borrow up to EUR35.0 million. According to
information provided by the company, this credit volume, which can be drawn
in several tranches, is enough to finance the approval and
commercialisation strategy in full. At the same time, this significantly
reduces the financing risk and markedly increases operational flexibility.
 
After securing the future financing, the company's focus is on the planned
European roll-out of the technology. This is to primarily involve new
treatment centres in Germany's neighbouring countries. In this regard, it
is planned to install a NanoActivator(R) in treatment centres in five
further European countries. In addition, after the successful repetition of
the toxicology trials, the approval for the treatment of prostate cancer in
the USA will be advanced. We expect marketing approval to be received in
the second half of 2018. A further upside potential that we have, however,
currently not yet included in our forecasts, arises from the planned
expansion of the treatment for prostate cancer to Europe. Obtaining cost
reimbursements from the health insurance providers will also be a focus in
the upcoming reporting periods. In this regard, the plan is to conduct
reimbursement studies.
 
Based on our specific forecasts prepared up to financial year 2024, we have
determined a fair value of EUR15.00 (previously: EUR13.90) per share. The
increase in the target price is, in the first instance, due to a reduction
in the weighted costs of capital as a consequence of the recently concluded
financing agreement with the European Investment Bank (EIB). The EUR35
million to be drawn in the next few years leads to an increase in the
typically lower interest debt component of WACC, as a result of which the
weighted costs of capital are reduced to 11.0% (to date: 11.5%). Based on
the current share price of EUR8.00, there is a considerable potential for a
higher valuation and we therefore assign the BUY rating.

Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/15581.pdf

Kontakt für Rückfragen
Jörg Grunwald
Vorstand
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
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Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach §34b Abs. 1 WpHG und FinAnV Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,5b,6a,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter: 
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung.htm
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